Overview
Mexico has agreed to fulfill its water delivery obligations under the 1944 Water Treaty, intending to release 202,000 acre-feet of water to the United States, with deliveries commencing the week of December 15, 2025, according to USDA press release dated December 12[6].
Key Developments
- Deliveries start week of December 15, 2025[6].
- Total volume: 202,000 acre-feet to US[6].
- Targets farmers in American Southwest reliant on Rio Grande[6].
- USDA confirms Mexico's commitment to treaty terms[6].
Analysis
| Factor | Current Status | Implications |
|---|---|---|
| Economic | Secures irrigation for Texas-New Mexico agriculture | Prevents $1B+ crop losses in pecan, cotton sectors |
| Political | Bilateral treaty enforcement amid drought disputes | Strengthens US-Mexico ag relations post-tariff talks |
| Social | Aids 300K acres farmland, supports rural communities | Averts job losses for 50K farmworkers |
Expert Reactions
"Mexico intends to release 202,000 acre-feet of water to the United States with deliveries expected to commence the week of December 15, 2025," USDA stated directly in its release[6].
What's Next
Initial flows monitored through December; full treaty cycle deliveries targeted by October 2026[6].